The Pennsylvania Primary and Poll Predictions

With the Pennsylvania Primary quickly approaching, all attention is being focused on the presidential race and what the results will mean for the remaining candidates. However, the Pennsylvania race for Senate has also been a dynamic race so far this election cycle.

Harper Polling, recently released its numbers and predictions for the results of the Democratic Primary, taking into account conditions such as electoral environment, candidate image and candidate information flow.

Photo Credit: Harper Polling

Photo Credit: Harper Polling

Respondents were first asked about the direction the state was going in and were asked to consider if the state government was on the right or wrong track. Twenty eight percent of respondents said they felt that the state was headed in the right direction, 56 percent felt the state is on the wrong track, and the remaining 16 percent identified as being unsure how they felt.

Karen Vander Laan, Chairman of Yardely, PA Democratic Club feels that the state has been going in the right direction, “Over the last few years I think there’s finally started to be some momentum in the statehouse,” said Vander Laan.

The poll also asks about the image of the President and Vice President with the majority of respondents viewing both “very favorably” at 63 percent and 64 percent respectively.

Harper Polling then moves on to share its latest data on the Democratic Senate candidates. The poll reporters that Katie McGinty and Joe Sestak are the two front runners of the race as they have both strengthened their image and name recognition since the last poll was a month prior. Results show that Sestak has a slight advantage over McGinty, with his image being viewed “very favorably” by 37 percent of respondents to McGinty’s 24 percent in that same category. Both front runners have decreased the number of electorate that view them unfavorably in the last month.

Photo Credit: Harper Polling

Photo Credit: Harper Polling

“I recognize all of the Senate candidates at this point,” said Vander Laan, “campaign ads are running all the time every day at this point, so if you watch TV you at least know [the candidate’s] names.”

Information flow is the last category of the poll. Sestak and McGinty both have high levels of information flow at 63 percent and 60 percent respectively. Each candidate also has  high positive information flow, Sestak is reported to be leading with a 67% favorable rating to 13% unfavorable. While McGinty has a 68% favorable rating  to a 15% unfavorable rating, something Harper Polling says may be a challenge for McGinty.

Skip to toolbar